Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000380 0.000426 0.000477 0.000536 0.000603 0.000677 0.000765
2024-12-22 0.000279 0.000342 0.000416 0.000511 0.000630 0.000775 0.000966
2024-12-29 0.000231 0.000301 0.000391 0.000513 0.000679 0.000897 0.001209
2025-01-05 0.000206 0.000283 0.000386 0.000536 0.000753 0.001056 0.001521
2025-01-12 0.000177 0.000253 0.000361 0.000525 0.000774 0.001142 0.001740
2025-01-19 0.000151 0.000223 0.000329 0.000499 0.000767 0.001184 0.001895
2025-01-26 0.000137 0.000210 0.000321 0.000505 0.000809 0.001302 0.002189
2025-02-02 0.000130 0.000206 0.000325 0.000529 0.000882 0.001480 0.002610
2025-02-09 0.000118 0.000191 0.000310 0.000522 0.000901 0.001568 0.002884
2025-02-16 0.000109 0.000182 0.000303 0.000526 0.000938 0.001694 0.003246
2025-02-23 0.000100 0.000171 0.000292 0.000521 0.000958 0.001787 0.003560
2025-03-02 0.000094 0.000165 0.000288 0.000528 0.001002 0.001932 0.004001
2025-03-09 0.000088 0.000157 0.000282 0.000532 0.001042 0.002079 0.004485
2025-03-16 0.000079 0.000143 0.000263 0.000508 0.001023 0.002105 0.004708
2025-03-23 0.000074 0.000137 0.000257 0.000511 0.001059 0.002254 0.005245
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000136 0.000261 0.000534 0.001142 0.002517 0.006111
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000127 0.000250 0.000522 0.001148 0.002605 0.006553
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000117 0.000233 0.000496 0.001117 0.002601 0.006754
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000113 0.000230 0.000502 0.001161 0.002788 0.007513
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000113 0.000235 0.000527 0.001253 0.003109 0.008725
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000107 0.000227 0.000520 0.001266 0.003229 0.009368
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000104 0.000224 0.000524 0.001308 0.003431 0.010313
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000099 0.000218 0.000518 0.001325 0.003567 0.011077